pricing-monte-carlo
deep purple
#306 / 601
NAME
pricing-monte-carlo — MCMC simulation of price moves against historical demand.
SYNOPSIS
id pricing-monte-carlo
tier deep-purple
section §10. Deep purple ✨ — deep reasoning (34 baseline, 45 post-matrix)
trigger operator-asked
tools cortex.aggregate
source new
shape SINGLE
DESCRIPTION
Run a thousand parallel 'what if I changed the price' simulations against your real sales history. The median outcome is your honest expectation; the spread is your honest uncertainty.
MCMC simulation of price moves against historical demand.
MECHANISM
not-yet-implemented — no cart file at curator-web/src/scheme/carts/…/pricing-monte-carlo.sks
EXAMPLES
Example forthcoming —
docs/automations/examples.json entry editable in place.TIER
deep purple
deep reasoning · batched · dollars per run
FITNESS
Not yet
This method only gives a real answer above a sample threshold. Running it on a small shop produces a confidence band the size of the universe — useless. When the shop crosses the threshold, this lights up.
SEE ALSO
- design-pricing-strategy ✦
- write-brand-story ✦
- annual-strategy-review ✦
- new-product-line-design ✦
- year-end-summary ✦
- holiday-listing-strategy ✦
- shop-positioning-refresh ✦
- growth-bet-portfolio ✦
- markov-buyer-journey ✦
- dead-shop-revival-plan ✦
- shop-audit-narrative ✦
- write-shop-announcement ✦
- write-policy-update ✦
- compare-shop-to-segment-deep ✦
- cohort-deep-dive ✦
- pricing-anomaly-explain ✦
- churn-postmortem ✦
- cross-channel-portfolio ✦
HISTORY
canonical source: curator/docs/AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md · §10-deep-purple-deep-reasoning-34-baseline-45-post-matrix
last regenerated: 2026-06-05 20:31 UTC (mechanical — edits land in the MD or sidecars, not here)
KNOWN BUGS
(none recorded — flag in AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md or open an issue against the cart file)