deep-finance-mdp-inventory(automation) · Curator Automations

NAME

deep-finance-mdp-inventory — "You have 4 cuffs left, sell 1.2/week with σ=0.6, lead time 3 days. Restock at 3 to keep stock-out probability under 5%."

SYNOPSIS

id deep-finance-mdp-inventory tier deep-purple section §22. Finance — AI/subsystem + deep-purple cluster (37) trigger analysis-pattern shape PLAYBOOK

DESCRIPTION

Treat restocking like a chess game: every state (current stock, demand rate, lead time) has a best move. Solve backward from a million possible futures to find the threshold where 'order now' beats 'wait one more day.'

"You have 4 cuffs left, sell 1.2/week with σ=0.6, lead time 3 days. Restock at 3 to keep stock-out probability under 5%."

MECHANISM

not-yet-implemented — no cart file at curator-web/src/scheme/carts/…/deep-finance-mdp-inventory.sks

EXAMPLES

Sakura uses this when she's reasoning about restock timing. A Markov Decision Process maps states (stock level, demand rate, lead time) to actions and finds the policy that keeps stock-out probability below your tolerance. "Restock at 3 cuffs to stay under 5% stock-out risk."

TIER

deep purple

deep reasoning · batched · dollars per run

FITNESS

Not yet

This method only gives a real answer above a sample threshold. Running it on a small shop produces a confidence band the size of the universe — useless. When the shop crosses the threshold, this lights up.

HISTORY

canonical source: curator/docs/AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md · §22-finance-aisubsystem-deep-purple-cluster-37
last regenerated: 2026-06-05 20:31 UTC (mechanical — edits land in the MD or sidecars, not here)

KNOWN BUGS

(none recorded — flag in AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md or open an issue against the cart file)