Lacuna/Labs
deep-finance-hmm-buyer-states
deep purple
#587 / 601

NAME

deep-finance-hmm-buyer-states — "Five of your loyal-state buyers slid to dormant in May — they all bought during the holiday sale and never came back."

SYNOPSIS

id deep-finance-hmm-buyer-states tier deep-purple section §22. Finance — AI/subsystem + deep-purple cluster (37) trigger operator-asked shape SINGLE

DESCRIPTION

The customer is in some hidden mood (active, dormant, churning) we can't see directly. We watch what they DO buy and when, then infer which mood they're in like detectives. The math finds the hidden states from the visible behavior.

"Five of your loyal-state buyers slid to dormant in May — they all bought during the holiday sale and never came back."

MECHANISM

DATAyour cortexFITHMMPOSTERIORcredible bandFORECASTdecision

not-yet-implemented — no cart file at curator-web/src/scheme/carts/…/deep-finance-hmm-buyer-states.sks

EXAMPLES

Sakura uses this when she notices buyers behaving differently month-to-month. A hidden Markov model finds the loyal/lapsed/dormant states without you labeling them. "Five loyal buyers slid to dormant after the holiday sale and never came back" — she names the slide, you decide whether to email them.

TIER

deep purple
deep reasoning · batched · dollars per run

FITNESS

Not yet

This method only gives a real answer above a sample threshold. Running it on a small shop produces a confidence band the size of the universe — useless. When the shop crosses the threshold, this lights up.

SEE ALSO

HISTORY

canonical source: curator/docs/AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md · §22-finance-aisubsystem-deep-purple-cluster-37
last regenerated: 2026-06-05 20:31 UTC (mechanical — edits land in the MD or sidecars, not here)

KNOWN BUGS

(none recorded — flag in AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md or open an issue against the cart file)