Lacuna/Labs
deep-finance-gp-forecast
deep purple
#588 / 601

NAME

deep-finance-gp-forecast — "Next 60 days project $9,200 (95% interval $7,400–$11,000); confidence narrows for week 1, widens for week 8."

SYNOPSIS

id deep-finance-gp-forecast tier deep-purple section §22. Finance — AI/subsystem + deep-purple cluster (37) trigger operator-asked shape SINGLE

DESCRIPTION

Draw the smoothest possible curve through what we've seen, with a fog of uncertainty wherever data is thin. Next week's forecast is sharp; week eight's forecast has a wide fog band. The fog matters as much as the curve.

"Next 60 days project $9,200 (95% interval $7,400–$11,000); confidence narrows for week 1, widens for week 8."

MECHANISM

DATAyour cortexFITGPPOSTERIORcredible bandFORECASTdecision

not-yet-implemented — no cart file at curator-web/src/scheme/carts/…/deep-finance-gp-forecast.sks

EXAMPLES

Sakura uses this when you want a forecast that knows its own uncertainty. Gaussian Processes give a confidence band that's narrow up close and widens out — "Next week: $1,800 ± $200. Week 8: $1,400 ± $900." She shows you the cone, not a single line that pretends to be sure.

TIER

deep purple
deep reasoning · batched · dollars per run

FITNESS

Not yet

This method only gives a real answer above a sample threshold. Running it on a small shop produces a confidence band the size of the universe — useless. When the shop crosses the threshold, this lights up.

SEE ALSO

HISTORY

canonical source: curator/docs/AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md · §22-finance-aisubsystem-deep-purple-cluster-37
last regenerated: 2026-06-05 20:31 UTC (mechanical — edits land in the MD or sidecars, not here)

KNOWN BUGS

(none recorded — flag in AUTOMATIONS-CANONICAL.md or open an issue against the cart file)